Digging deeper: Emerging market debt choices
With central banks in the U.S., Euro area, U.K. and Japan all continuing to signal “low for longer” policy rates, yields across developed markets are likely to stay well anchored for some time. The search for yield frequently leads to conversations about emerging-market debt. While the basic rationale for EM debt is now well understood, “which” has seemed more of a question for investors. This paper explores the different types of emerging-market debt and what makes sense for portfolios, specifically:
- Each of the three EMD asset classes – USD-denominated sovereign debt, USD-denominated corporate debt or local currency government debt – has delivered strong returns over time and deserves consideration.
- If the global economy grows strongly in coming years, local-currency government debt will likely outperform, thanks to its foreign-exchange component.
- Hard-currency sovereign debt, a lower-beta investment, is likely to outperform in a softer global growth environment.
- EM corporate debt, which is currently attractively valued, offers more direct exposure to EM Asia than the two government-debt EMD categories.
Digging deeper: Emerging market debt choices (PDF)
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